Post by morningstar on Apr 7, 2014 14:37:38 GMT
Well, Jesus did say the Birth Pangs will increase..so this doesn't surprise me, but I am praying the Lord just take us home soon, don't want to see anymore natural disasters and loss of life..it's getting a little to crazy out there. Although the Weather forecasters have been wrong before, something tells me ...not this time.
Bit of Science
Two hottest years ever: 2014 will set new world temperature record – and 2015 will break it
El Niño Southern Oscillation index: duration and intensity of La Niña and El Niño years. El Niño is usually defined as a positive temperature anomaly in the east and central tropical Pacific. Another way to express the climate phenomenon is through an index (Southern Oscillation index) for air pressure difference across the equatorial Pacific – with relatively high pressure in the West and low pressure (because of increased convection over warm water) in the East typical for El Niño. The above graph uses that alternative indicator – and it holds a clue to our temperature predictions for 2014 and 2015: hottest year on record, followed by the hottestest year on record…
There is good reason to assume the approaching 2014 El Niño will be the strongest in years: both dynamical and statistical model calculations are speeding up – and a +7 degrees Celsius warming Kelvin wave is closing in on the east Pacific Ocean surface.
The second half of 2014 may bring Pacific temperature anomalies of more than 1.5 degrees Celsius, lifting global average temperatures – and increasing the net likelihood of extreme weather events across the globe. The 2014 average temperatures will quite likely be sufficiently lifted above the global temperature trend to create a new global temperature record – and delayed oceanic and atmospheric effects will likely increase that warming over much of 2015, thereby creating two subsequent ‘hottest years on record’.
How much is +0.2C + +0.2C? Probably enough to bring the two hottest years ever measured – in a row.
Many recall the powerful El Niño event of 1997-1998. If you live in California that is because of the continuous downpours – if you live in South East Asia it’s because of the intense smog of the Borneo wildfires. If you are a climate geek you will know these wildfires contributed an estimated 40 percent extra CO2 (additional to fossil fuel emissions) to the atmosphere, caused by prolonged drought in the West Pacific.
Climate geeks also know that 1998 turned out to become a sursprisingly hot year – right up there with the other two really hot years that followed in the next decade: 2005 and 2010.
FULL ARTICLE
Fair Use for Discussion & Educational Purposes.
Bit of Science
Two hottest years ever: 2014 will set new world temperature record – and 2015 will break it
El Niño Southern Oscillation index: duration and intensity of La Niña and El Niño years. El Niño is usually defined as a positive temperature anomaly in the east and central tropical Pacific. Another way to express the climate phenomenon is through an index (Southern Oscillation index) for air pressure difference across the equatorial Pacific – with relatively high pressure in the West and low pressure (because of increased convection over warm water) in the East typical for El Niño. The above graph uses that alternative indicator – and it holds a clue to our temperature predictions for 2014 and 2015: hottest year on record, followed by the hottestest year on record…
There is good reason to assume the approaching 2014 El Niño will be the strongest in years: both dynamical and statistical model calculations are speeding up – and a +7 degrees Celsius warming Kelvin wave is closing in on the east Pacific Ocean surface.
The second half of 2014 may bring Pacific temperature anomalies of more than 1.5 degrees Celsius, lifting global average temperatures – and increasing the net likelihood of extreme weather events across the globe. The 2014 average temperatures will quite likely be sufficiently lifted above the global temperature trend to create a new global temperature record – and delayed oceanic and atmospheric effects will likely increase that warming over much of 2015, thereby creating two subsequent ‘hottest years on record’.
How much is +0.2C + +0.2C? Probably enough to bring the two hottest years ever measured – in a row.
Many recall the powerful El Niño event of 1997-1998. If you live in California that is because of the continuous downpours – if you live in South East Asia it’s because of the intense smog of the Borneo wildfires. If you are a climate geek you will know these wildfires contributed an estimated 40 percent extra CO2 (additional to fossil fuel emissions) to the atmosphere, caused by prolonged drought in the West Pacific.
Climate geeks also know that 1998 turned out to become a sursprisingly hot year – right up there with the other two really hot years that followed in the next decade: 2005 and 2010.
FULL ARTICLE
Fair Use for Discussion & Educational Purposes.